Midterms 2026 · Interactive map
Election map
Defaults to Party & outlook on state control — who holds power now, who is favored in 2026, and where flip risk is highest. Switch to Senate, governor, or House layers, or flip to Coverage for CladFacts graded-report heat. Tap a state to dig in (sign in free for coverage grades & lean).
- 33Class II Senate states
- 36Governor races 2026
- 5Flip-risk (state control)
- 9States with graded reports
How to use Colors show the 2026 outlook for the selected layer. Striped states = flip risk. Tap a state for who holds power now, the outlook band, and CladFacts race cards — then lock picks on the ballot board.
Tap a state for control, outlook & races
Party map is an editorial snapshot (as of 2026-07-14) — solid/likely/lean/toss-up bands for glanceability. It is not a CladFacts grade, poll average, or prediction market.
Coverage map shows ballot structure and graded-report heat on CladFacts — not who is winning the election.
Election desk
Updates under the map
Recent CladFacts reports on midterm candidates, race coverage, and election process — plus board races with the most heat or the soonest vote. Tap a headline to expand. Grades unlock free with an account.
Latest headlines
-
Talarico challenges Paxton in Texas Senate race as Collins faces scrutiny over son-in-law ties
Grade & lean unlock free with an account. See grades free
The segment examines Democratic Senate prospects in Georgia, North Carolina, and Texas ahead of the 2026 midterms. It highlights fundraising and candidate quality for Democrats Jon Ossoff, Roy Cooper, and James Talarico while criticizing Republican nominees Mike Collins and Ken Paxton. Guests Mark McKinnon and Sam Stein discuss the Texas race specifically, noting Talarico's appeal as a faith-based candidate and Paxton's perceived campaign weaknesses. Sourcing draws from CNN reporting on Collins and longstanding public records on Paxton scandals.
-
Mike Collins targets Jon Ossoff's narrow 2021 Georgia Senate win ahead of 2026 race
Grade & lean unlock free with an account. See grades free
The segment features Rep. Mike Collins discussing Sen. Jon Ossoff's 2026 reelection bid. Collins downplays speculation about Ossoff's presidential prospects and emphasizes the Georgia race as the top target for Republicans. He contrasts their one-term records and legislative outcomes. The show positions the interview as highlighting differences between the candidates. Sourcing relies on Collins' statements without additional guests or data visuals referenced in the clip.
-
ABC News details Maine Senate race's role for Democrats seeking 2026 majority
Grade & lean unlock free with an account. See grades free
The ABC News segment analyzes Maine's pivotal role in the 2026 midterm Senate elections, emphasizing its status as a must-win for Democrats aiming to flip the chamber. It highlights the state's recent presidential voting history and the Democratic scramble to replace a withdrawn candidate against incumbent Susan Collins. The report relies on electoral math from strategists, references to the 2024 results, and the recent party decision to nominate Troy Jackson. It stresses that winning Maine alone is insufficient without additional gains elsewhere.
-
Lombardo traffic stop fallout includes ethics complaint, billboard probe, and tied poll
Grade & lean unlock free with an account. See grades free
The segment recaps developments one week after Gov. Joe Lombardo's May traffic stop bodycam footage went viral. It covers a theater promotion, vandalized campaign billboard under LVMPD investigation, leaked audio of Lombardo referencing Trump, an ethics complaint, Democratic microsite, and a tied gubernatorial poll. The broadcast draws from public videos, news reports, the ethics filing by Reno resident Zachary Miller, LVMPD actions, and a Democrat-affiliated PPP poll showing Lombardo and Ford at 44% each.
-
John James Wins GOP Nomination, Blasts Michigan's 46th Overall Ranking
Grade & lean unlock free with an account. See grades free
This C-SPAN clip captures U.S. Rep. John James' victory speech after winning the 2026 Michigan Republican gubernatorial primary on August 4. He calls for unity, reaches out to independents and the 'politically homeless,' and launches into a critique of Democratic governance under Gov. Gretchen Whitmer and Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson, his likely November opponent. James highlights high gas prices, elevated unemployment, poor education and infrastructure rankings, youth out-migration, and a state budget nearly 50% larger than under Republican Gov. Rick Snyder, arguing Democrats hold primary responsibility despite shared national leadership under President Trump.
-
Cole urges CR to avert September shutdown, cites Senate impasse on funding bills
Grade & lean unlock free with an account. See grades free
The weekly chat covers House passage of the National Security and Related Programs Act as the third appropriations bill advanced to the floor, with all 12 bills cleared from committee. Cole discusses the need for a continuing resolution to extend funding past September 30 through late November, ahead of the election, and notes plans to attend a Camp David meeting with White House officials on avoiding a shutdown. The second segment addresses Senate gridlock linked to Susan Collins' contested race, past Democratic-led shutdowns, an upcoming reconciliation bill for military aid tied to Iran conflict plus farmer support and voter ID incentives, and a congressional resolution honoring the University of Oklahoma baseball team's College World Series win.
-
Sisolak critiques Lombardo traffic stop and Trump agenda in interview
Grade & lean unlock free with an account. See grades free
The segment features host Brian Shapiro interviewing former Nevada Gov. Steve Sisolak about a May 2026 bodycam video of current Gov. Joe Lombardo's traffic stop for a red-light violation near Las Vegas. Lombardo identifies himself, says 'C'mon man,' and receives a warning without citation. Sisolak calls the exchange poorly handled but not heavily pressured, notes he accepted a ticket after an accident while governor, and criticizes politicians who leverage status. The discussion shifts to ICE incidents nationwide, Trump's upcoming speech on election integrity, Michelle Fiore's pardon, COVID decisions, and vaccine skepticism.
-
Fox News frames Michigan primaries as test of socialist surge despite El-Sayed win
Grade & lean unlock free with an account. See grades free
The Fox News segment discusses results from the August 4, 2026, Michigan Democratic primaries, focusing on the tight U.S. Senate race between Abdul El-Sayed and Haley Stevens (still being finalized but trending toward El-Sayed), a progressive victory in Michigan's 7th Congressional District by Sunrise Movement co-founder William Lawrence over two moderates, and Cori Bush's loss in her Missouri comeback bid against Rep. Wesley Bell. Host Todd and guest Colin Reid analyze implications for battleground Michigan, polling inaccuracies that underestimated progressive strength, and how the winner of the Senate primary will face Republican Mike Rogers in November. The discussion frames these as evidence of a broadening socialist movement, with commentary on voter bases, open primaries, and the need for candidates to run aggressively.
-
Donalds, Jolly lead Florida governor primaries with month to Aug. 18 vote
Grade & lean unlock free with an account. See grades free
The segment reports frontrunners in the Aug. 18 Florida governor primaries one month out. On the Republican side, Rep. Byron Donalds leads with 48% in a new Tyson Group poll; challengers Jay Collins, James Fishback and Paul Renner trail. Opponents push for debates and Fishback faces a $400,000 AI ad attack from a Ted Cruz-aligned group alleging antisemitism. On the Democratic side, former Rep. David Jolly released a video addressing past ties to indicted Clearwater businessman Leo Govoni and leads a Change Research poll (commissioned by Freedom Project USA) over Donalds in a hypothetical general-election matchup.
-
Duckworth Accuses VA Secretary Collins of Veteran Service Disruptions in Senate Hearing
Grade & lean unlock free with an account. See grades free
The video breaks down a Senate Veterans' Affairs Committee hearing in which Sen. Tammy Duckworth confronted VA Secretary Doug Collins over the effects of early 2025 mass terminations of roughly 2,400 probationary VA employees, many hired after the PACT Act expanded eligibility. Duckworth presented constituent cases of delayed benefits, six-week mental health appointments, canceled prescriptions, and long record backlogs, arguing these stemmed from indiscriminate DOGE-led cuts that also affected Veterans Crisis Line support and training staff. Collins acknowledged some errors, stated that most affected staff (including 24 erroneous VCL notices) were reinstated, emphasized that no frontline crisis responders were let go, noted protected healthcare positions, and offered to assist with her cases while attributing some delays to DoD records issues. The coverage relies primarily on hearing excerpts, Duckworth's prepared remarks, and a quoted April 2025 letter from Collins on VCL staffing. It features no independent experts or Collins' later testimony on backlog reductions. The throughline is the tension between workforce reductions for efficiency and the risk of service interruptions for veterans.
Board watch
Soonest votes and hottest coverage on the CladFacts ballot board (not poll standings). Portraits load when we have a Wikimedia match.
- Michigan U.S. Senate marquee Dem primary (Stevens / El-Sayed) vs Mike Rogers Class II open seat — Gary Peters not seeking re-election. Dem primary Aug 4, 2026: Haley Stevens vs Abdul El-Sayed (McMorrow suspended). Rogers is the main GOP coverage name. Elissa Slotkin is Class I (2030) — not on this ballot.
- Minnesota U.S. Senate watch Dem primary (Flanagan / Craig) vs GOP field (MN) Class II open seat — Tina Smith retiring. Dem primary Aug 11, 2026 (Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan, Rep. Angie Craig lead coverage). Amy Klobuchar is Class I (2030).
- South Carolina U.S. Senate watch GOP special primary (SC) vs Annie Andrews Class II vacancy after Sen. Lindsey Graham’s death (July 11, 2026). Gov. McMaster appointed Darline Graham Nordone interim. Special GOP primary Aug 11 (runoff Aug 25 if needed) for the Nov ballot. Annie Andrews is the Democratic nominee.
- New Hampshire U.S. Senate watch Chris Pappas vs GOP field (Sununu / Brown) Class II open seat — Jeanne Shaheen retiring. Primaries Sept 8, 2026. Coverage stand-ins: Rep. Chris Pappas (D); former Sen. John E. Sununu and Scott Brown lead GOP coverage. Update when nominees lock.
- Georgia U.S. Senate marquee Jon Ossoff vs Mike Collins Class II. Ossoff (Dem primary unopposed May 2026). Collins won the June 16 GOP runoff vs Derek Dooley — both are general-election nominees. Warnock is Class III (2028).
- Georgia Governor watch Brian Kemp vs Democratic field (GA gov) Parallel to Class II Senate (Ossoff). Do not conflate with Warnock’s Class III seat (2028).
- Florida Governor watch Term-limited / open (FL) vs Democratic field (FL gov) Open under state term limits after DeSantis’s second term — update sides when nominees emerge. DeSantis slug remains for coverage heat only.
- Michigan Governor watch Gretchen Whitmer vs GOP field (MI gov) Separate from the open Class II Senate race above.
- Pennsylvania Governor marquee Josh Shapiro vs GOP field (PA) No Pennsylvania U.S. Senate race in 2026 (Fetterman Class III → 2028; the other seat is Class I → 2030).
- Arizona Governor marquee Katie Hobbs vs Kari Lake No Arizona U.S. Senate seat is scheduled for 2026 (Kelly Class III → 2028; Gallego Class I → 2030).
Open ballot board → · Community votes
Flip-risk snapshot
5 states marked flip risk on the state-control outlook (favored party differs from who holds power, or toss-up). Snapshot as of 2026-07-14 — editorial bands, not CladFacts grades.
Jump to a state
Can’t tap the map? Pick a state here — same detail panel opens.
Guide How to read these maps
- Party & outlook (default) — who holds the seat/control now, Cook-style solid/likely/lean/toss-up bands for 2026, and flip-risk striping when the favored party differs from the holder. Editorial snapshot as of 2026-07-14.
- State control (default layer) — simplified lean of governor + legislature for the whole state. Switch to Senate, governor, or House for office-specific outlooks.
- Coverage map — ballot structure + CladFacts graded-report heat. Not a forecast of who wins.
- Class II Senate = one-third of the chamber up in 2026 (Art. I §3). Candidate map verified 2026-07-14.
- House = all 435 seats every midterm; colors are statewide lean only, not districts.
- Your picks — after exploring, lock winners on the ballot board (account required). Community tallies stay anonymous.
Dig deeper: ballot board · community votes · politician cards · first-time voter guide. Map paths: Wikimedia Commons blank US map (public domain).