Midterms 2026 · Interactive map
Election map
Defaults to Party & outlook on state control — who holds power now, who is favored in 2026, and where flip risk is highest. Switch to Senate, governor, or House layers, or flip to Coverage for CladFacts graded-report heat. Tap a state to dig in (sign in free for coverage grades & lean).
- 33Class II Senate states
- 36Governor races 2026
- 5Flip-risk (state control)
- 10States with graded reports
How to use Colors show the 2026 outlook for the selected layer. Striped states = flip risk. Tap a state for who holds power now, the outlook band, and CladFacts race cards — then lock picks on the ballot board.
Tap a state for control, outlook & races
Party map is an editorial snapshot (as of 2026-07-14) — solid/likely/lean/toss-up bands for glanceability. It is not a CladFacts grade, poll average, or prediction market.
Coverage map shows ballot structure and graded-report heat on CladFacts — not who is winning the election.
Election desk
Updates under the map
Recent CladFacts reports on midterm candidates, race coverage, and election process — plus board races with the most heat or the soonest vote. Tap a headline to expand. Grades unlock free with an account.
Latest headlines
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Ossoff delivers unity-themed excerpt at Atlanta rally amid 2026 Senate bid
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The YouTube clip from the channel jonossoffgafanclips features a short excerpt of Sen. Jon Ossoff speaking at a campaign rally in Atlanta on August 16, 2026. Ossoff argues that shared emotional pain over national struggles unites Americans as 'one united people' rather than just one nation, invoking E Pluribus Unum (mispronounced as 'Plurbusum' in the clip) and crediting a common national spirit for passing civil rights laws, defeating fascism, and landing men on the moon. He concludes that the U.S. remains 'destined for greatness.' The full rally, attended by about 1,600 supporters at Center Stage Theater, focused on turning out voters eight weeks before early voting to 'save the republic' while criticizing Trump administration policies and his Republican opponent Rep. Mike Collins.
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Mike Rogers blasts El-Sayed as anti-American in Ben Shapiro interview
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Ben Shapiro interviews Republican Senate candidate Mike Rogers about his tight race against Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed. Rogers argues El-Sayed is the most anti-American candidate in the country, citing his appearances with streamer Hasan Piker, past social media comments on 9/11, a planned speech at an ISNA conference days before the 9/11 anniversary, opposition to symbols like the Fourth of July, and support for Medicare for All. Shapiro and Rogers highlight Democratic reluctance to disavow El-Sayed except for Sen. John Fetterman and note crossover support from Jewish Democrats, Black voters, and figures like Van Jones. The segment ends with Rogers responding to Tucker Carlson's recent praise of El-Sayed as 'America First' and a call for donations to RogersForSenate.com.
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Vance attacks El-Sayed as 'very evil' at Michigan rally for Rogers, draws 9/11 gaffe criticism
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The Bulwark video features Tim Miller reacting to Vice President JD Vance's August 31, 2026, campaign rally in Sterling Heights, Michigan, where Vance supported Republican Senate nominee Mike Rogers against Democrat Abdul El-Sayed. Segments cover Vance's nuanced response to Trump's data centers comments, a verbal gaffe about commemorating 9/11, and his sharp attacks on El-Sayed's faith, selective sympathy claims, and personal remarks about Vance's wife Usha. Miller accuses Vance of dog-whistling, projection, and anti-Muslim bigotry while defending El-Sayed and highlighting perceived hypocrisy on immigration and family issues. A guest joins for additional commentary on Vance's motivations.
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JD Vance tells Abdul El-Sayed to keep wife's name out of his mouth at Michigan rally
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Forbes Breaking News aired a clip of Vice President JD Vance speaking at a MAGA Inc. rally in Michigan on August 31, 2026. Vance directly addressed Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed, instructing him to stop commenting on Vance's wife Usha and criticizing El-Sayed's approach to politics as divisive identity-based conflict. The segment draws from an ongoing exchange in Michigan's Senate race between El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers. Vance referenced El-Sayed's prior comments questioning whether Vance's late grandfather would have approved of his marriage to Usha, an Indian-American woman, along with earlier podcast remarks about the Vance family.
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Darline Graham Wins SC GOP Senate Runoff, Attacks Opponent Andrews as Radical
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In her victory speech after winning the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate in South Carolina's special runoff, Darline Graham accepted the nomination to replace her late brother Lindsey Graham, who died suddenly in July 2026 from an aortic dissection. She thanked President Trump for his endorsement and campaign help, GOP officials, her campaign team, volunteers, family, and voters, while paying tribute to her brother's legacy and offering conciliatory words to primary opponent Rep. Ralph Norman. Graham contrasted her humble upbringing and public service record with her general-election opponent Dr. Annie Andrews, labeling her the "most radical liberal" in state Democratic history for supporting gender-affirming care for transgender youth, gun control measures, expanded government healthcare, and abortion rights. She urged donations at darling.com and framed the race as a defense of conservative South Carolina values against outside liberal funding. The C-SPAN broadcast showed the full unfiltered speech with crowd reactions. Sourcing relied on Graham's personal narrative and campaign attacks; no independent fact-checks or opponent responses were included. Key throughline was continuity with Lindsey Graham's service and Trump's influence in securing the win.
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NBC News covers SC Senate runoff, SCOTUS mail-voting stay, Iran sanctions and Reno wildfires
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The broadcast opened with today's South Carolina Republican Senate primary runoff pitting Trump-endorsed Darline Graham against Rep. Ralph Norman for the seat vacated by the death of Lindsey Graham. It covered the Supreme Court's Monday stay allowing the Trump administration to move forward with an executive order on citizenship verification and mail-ballot restrictions ahead of the November 3 midterms, interviewing Lawrence Hurley for legal context. Segments addressed new Treasury sanctions on Iran announced by Scott Bessent, escalating U.S.-Canada tariffs at 50% with retaliatory threats, and the Hawk Fire west of Reno, Nevada, which has destroyed dozens of homes and prompted mass evacuations. Reporting relied on correspondents Alice Barr, Jonathan Allen, meteorologist Angie Lassman, and field reporter Liz Kreutz. Hurley explained the ruling's narrow scope (premature injunction, nothing changed yet, more litigation ahead). No anonymous sources; graphics showed heat maps, fire perimeters, and tariff impacts. Throughline emphasized challenges facing Trump and Republicans 10 weeks before midterms.
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Carville Predicts Easy Democratic Wins in 2026 House and Senate
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In the Piers Morgan Uncensored clip, James Carville reviews Polymarket odds for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, showing Gavin Newsom leading at 18%, followed closely by Jon Ossoff at 16% and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 15%, with Kamala Harris at 8%. He then predicts Democrats will win the House "easily" and the Senate without it being particularly close, while cautioning that he is not skilled at election forecasting and that early presidential primary polling is often unreliable. The discussion relies on prediction market data for 2028 and Carville's personal analysis of current political evidence, with no additional guests or external experts. Carville emphasizes he would change his view with contrary evidence but sees none now.
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Milo Yiannopoulos arrested by ICE at New Orleans airport over visa overstay
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The Bulwark's Trio podcast discusses the recent ICE detention of Milo Yiannopoulos in Louisiana. Hosts Tim Miller, Sam Stein, and Will Sommer cover his British background, expired visa, ties to Kanye West, and past associations with Marjorie Taylor Greene and Laura Loomer. They speculate on Loomer's role in prompting the arrest, Milo's living arrangements, and his ex-gay claims while teasing a subscriber Cameo message from MTG. Additional segments touch on white nationalist staffers linked to Georgia Senate candidate Mike Collins.
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Aaron Ford blames Lombardo and Trump tariffs for Nevada's high unemployment
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This short clip from The Nevadan features Nevada Attorney General and gubernatorial candidate Aaron Ford criticizing Gov. Joe Lombardo and President Donald Trump. Ford labels the current conditions the 'Lombardo-Trump economy,' claiming Trump's tariffs—endorsed by Lombardo—have caused high unemployment, business closures, and widespread economic havoc in Nevada. He argues that Trump's 'no tax on tips' pledge is meaningless if workers aren't earning tips due to the damaged economy. The segment consists entirely of Ford's campaign remarks with no opposing voices, experts, or data graphics presented. It draws from Ford's ongoing attacks during the 2026 governor's race, referencing prior statements where Lombardo suggested Nevadans might need to 'feel a little pain' from tariffs for long-term gains.
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Talarico and Cuban unveil Texas healthcare plan targeting monopolies in Fort Worth event
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The broadcast is a live moderated conversation in Fort Worth featuring Texas state Rep. James Talarico, Mark Cuban, and Fox News host Jessica Tarlov. Segments cover Talarico's type 1 diabetes diagnosis and legislative record on insulin costs and surprise billing, the joint healthcare plan to break up monopolies like CVS, social media algorithms, AI regulation, sports betting, and criticisms of opponent Ken Paxton. Talarico and Cuban announce support for the plan tied to bipartisan federal legislation; sourcing draws from Talarico's personal anecdotes, Cost Plus Drugs work by Cuban, and audience Q&A. The event promotes Talarico's 2026 US Senate campaign.
Board watch
Soonest votes and hottest coverage on the CladFacts ballot board (not poll standings). Portraits load when we have a Wikimedia match.
- New Hampshire U.S. Senate watch Chris Pappas vs GOP field (Sununu / Brown) Class II open seat — Jeanne Shaheen retiring. Primaries Sept 8, 2026. Coverage stand-ins: Rep. Chris Pappas (D); former Sen. John E. Sununu and Scott Brown lead GOP coverage. Update when nominees lock.
- Georgia U.S. Senate marquee Jon Ossoff vs Mike Collins Class II. Ossoff (Dem primary unopposed May 2026). Collins won the June 16 GOP runoff vs Derek Dooley — both are general-election nominees. Warnock is Class III (2028).
- South Carolina U.S. Senate watch Darline Graham vs Annie Andrews Class II vacancy after Sen. Lindsey Graham’s death (July 11, 2026). Gov. McMaster appointed Darline Graham interim; she won the Aug 25 GOP runoff vs Ralph Norman. Annie Andrews is the Democratic nominee.
- Pennsylvania Governor marquee Josh Shapiro vs GOP field (PA) No Pennsylvania U.S. Senate race in 2026 (Fetterman Class III → 2028; the other seat is Class I → 2030).
- Georgia Governor watch Brian Kemp vs Democratic field (GA gov) Parallel to Class II Senate (Ossoff). Do not conflate with Warnock’s Class III seat (2028).
- Florida Governor watch Term-limited / open (FL) vs Democratic field (FL gov) Open under state term limits after DeSantis’s second term — update sides when nominees emerge. DeSantis slug remains for coverage heat only.
- Michigan Governor watch Gretchen Whitmer vs GOP field (MI gov) Separate from the open Class II Senate race above.
- Nevada Governor watch Joe Lombardo vs Democratic field (NV gov) Jacky Rosen is Class I (reelected 2024 → 2030) — not a 2026 Senate ballot.
- Arizona Governor marquee Katie Hobbs vs Kari Lake No Arizona U.S. Senate seat is scheduled for 2026 (Kelly Class III → 2028; Gallego Class I → 2030).
- Nebraska U.S. Senate lean Pete Ricketts vs Democratic field (NE) Class II (Ricketts). Deb Fischer is Class I (next 2030).
Open ballot board → · Community votes
Flip-risk snapshot
5 states marked flip risk on the state-control outlook (favored party differs from who holds power, or toss-up). Snapshot as of 2026-07-14 — editorial bands, not CladFacts grades.
Jump to a state
Can’t tap the map? Pick a state here — same detail panel opens.
Guide How to read these maps
- Party & outlook (default) — who holds the seat/control now, Cook-style solid/likely/lean/toss-up bands for 2026, and flip-risk striping when the favored party differs from the holder. Editorial snapshot as of 2026-07-14.
- State control (default layer) — simplified lean of governor + legislature for the whole state. Switch to Senate, governor, or House for office-specific outlooks.
- Coverage map — ballot structure + CladFacts graded-report heat. Not a forecast of who wins.
- Class II Senate = one-third of the chamber up in 2026 (Art. I §3). Candidate map verified 2026-08-29 (live auditor overlay).
- House = all 435 seats every midterm; colors are statewide lean only, not districts.
- Your picks — after exploring, lock winners on the ballot board (account required). Community tallies stay anonymous.
Dig deeper: ballot board · community votes · politician cards · first-time voter guide. Map paths: Wikimedia Commons blank US map (public domain).