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Saturday, October 10, 2026

Grading Content & Exposing Bias

Midterms 2026 · Ballot board

Midterms 2026 Ballot Board

Pick winners race-by-race — Class II Senate and midterm governors. Sorted by how hot coverage is and how soon people vote. Not polls: coverage heat is graded airtime; your picks are your calls.

0/21 picks

Lock by group. Filter to Governors or Senate, then lock — only those races freeze. Other groups stay open for picks. Locked picks join the anonymous community tally and can be shared; drafts stay private.

Hottest coverage right now Georgia U.S. Senate Jon Ossoff vs Mike Collins · 63 reports · heat seed #1
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  • #8

    New Hampshire U.S. Senate

    Sep 8 · Primary watch Open seat 4 reports

    Coverage context: Chris Pappas — 4 reports · avg factuality 73 (not your election pick)

    Class II open seat — Jeanne Shaheen retiring. Primaries Sept 8, 2026. Coverage stand-ins: Rep. Chris Pappas (D); former Sen. John E. Sununu and Scott Brown lead GOP coverage. Update when nominees lock.

  • #1

    Georgia U.S. Senate

    Nov 3 · General marquee Projected general 63 reports

    Coverage context: Jon Ossoff — 36 reports · avg factuality 75 (not your election pick)

    Class II. Ossoff (Dem primary unopposed May 2026). Collins won the June 16 GOP runoff vs Derek Dooley — both are general-election nominees. Warnock is Class III (2028).

  • #2

    South Carolina U.S. Senate

    Nov 3 · General watch Projected general 11 reports

    Coverage context: Darline Graham — 11 reports · avg factuality 77 (not your election pick)

    Class II vacancy after Sen. Lindsey Graham’s death (July 11, 2026). Gov. McMaster appointed Darline Graham interim; she won the Aug 25 GOP runoff vs Ralph Norman. Annie Andrews is the Democratic nominee.

  • #3

    Pennsylvania Governor

    Nov 3 · General marquee Incumbent · field open 9 reports

    Coverage context: Josh Shapiro — 9 reports · avg factuality 82 (not your election pick)

    No Pennsylvania U.S. Senate race in 2026 (Fetterman Class III → 2028; the other seat is Class I → 2030).

  • #4

    Georgia Governor

    Nov 3 · General watch Incumbent · field open 6 reports

    Coverage context: Brian Kemp — 6 reports · avg factuality 83 (not your election pick)

    Parallel to Class II Senate (Ossoff). Do not conflate with Warnock’s Class III seat (2028).

  • #5

    Florida Governor

    Nov 3 · General watch Open seat 5 reports

    Coverage context: Term-limited / open (FL) — 5 reports · avg factuality 76 (not your election pick)

    Open under state term limits after DeSantis’s second term — update sides when nominees emerge. DeSantis slug remains for coverage heat only.

  • #6

    Michigan Governor

    Nov 3 · General watch Incumbent · field open 5 reports

    Coverage context: Gretchen Whitmer — 5 reports · avg factuality 77 (not your election pick)

    Separate from the open Class II Senate race above.

  • #7

    Nevada Governor

    Nov 3 · General watch Incumbent · field open 4 reports

    Coverage context: Joe Lombardo — 4 reports · avg factuality 58 (not your election pick)

    Jacky Rosen is Class I (reelected 2024 → 2030) — not a 2026 Senate ballot.

  • #9

    Arizona Governor

    Nov 3 · General marquee Incumbent · field open 3 reports

    Coverage context: Katie Hobbs — 3 reports · avg factuality 74 (not your election pick)

    No Arizona U.S. Senate seat is scheduled for 2026 (Kelly Class III → 2028; Gallego Class I → 2030).

  • #10

    Nebraska U.S. Senate

    Nov 3 · General lean Incumbent · field open 3 reports

    Coverage context: Pete Ricketts — 3 reports · avg factuality 84 (not your election pick)

    Class II (Ricketts). Deb Fischer is Class I (next 2030).

  • #11

    Michigan U.S. Senate

    Nov 3 · General marquee Projected general 1 reports

    Coverage context: Abdul El-Sayed — 1 reports · avg factuality 72 (not your election pick)

    Class II open seat — Gary Peters not seeking re-election. El-Sayed won the Aug 4, 2026 Dem primary over Haley Stevens. Rogers is the GOP nominee. Elissa Slotkin is Class I (2030) — not on this ballot.

  • #12

    Montana U.S. Senate

    Nov 3 · General watch Incumbent · field open 1 reports

    Coverage context: Steve Daines — 1 reports · avg factuality 95 (not your election pick)

    Class II is Daines. Jon Tester’s prior seat was Class I (2024 cycle) — not this race.

  • #13

    Colorado Governor

    Nov 3 · General watch Open seat 0 reports

    Coverage context: No graded coverage yet (not your election pick)

    Open after term limits. Dem primary: Phil Weiser defeated Sen. Michael Bennet (June 2026). Separate from Hickenlooper’s Class II Senate race.

  • #14

    Colorado U.S. Senate

    Nov 3 · General lean Incumbent · field open 0 reports

    Coverage context: No graded coverage yet (not your election pick)

    Class II is Hickenlooper (elected 2020). Michael Bennet is Class III (next 2028); he lost the 2026 Colorado governor primary and remains in the Senate through that term.

  • #15

    Illinois U.S. Senate

    Nov 3 · General lean Open seat 0 reports

    Coverage context: No graded coverage yet (not your election pick)

    Class II open seat — Dick Durbin not seeking re-election. Safe on paper for Democrats; national coverage continues.

  • #16

    Maine U.S. Senate

    Nov 3 · General marquee Projected general 0 reports

    Coverage context: No graded coverage yet (not your election pick)

    Class II. Collins won the GOP primary unopposed. Graham Platner won the June Dem primary then withdrew July 2026. Maine Democrats named former Senate President Troy Jackson at a July 25 convention.

  • #17

    Minnesota U.S. Senate

    Nov 3 · General watch Projected general 0 reports

    Coverage context: No graded coverage yet (not your election pick)

    Class II open seat — Tina Smith retiring. Flanagan won the Aug 11, 2026 Dem primary over Angie Craig; Tafoya won the GOP primary. Amy Klobuchar is Class I (2030).

  • #18

    New Jersey U.S. Senate

    Nov 3 · General lean Incumbent · field open 0 reports

    Coverage context: No graded coverage yet (not your election pick)

    Class II.

  • #19

    North Carolina U.S. Senate

    Nov 3 · General marquee Projected general 0 reports

    Coverage context: No graded coverage yet (not your election pick)

    Class II open seat — Thom Tillis retired (not seeking re-election). March 2026 primaries: Cooper (D) and Whatley (R, former RNC chair) are the nominees.

  • #20

    Texas U.S. Senate

    Nov 3 · General marquee Projected general 0 reports

    Coverage context: No graded coverage yet (not your election pick)

    Class II. Paxton defeated incumbent John Cornyn in the May 26, 2026 GOP runoff. Talarico won the March Dem primary (over Jasmine Crockett). Ted Cruz is Class I (2030) — not on this ballot.

  • #21

    Wisconsin Governor

    Nov 3 · General watch Incumbent · field open 0 reports

    Coverage context: No graded coverage yet (not your election pick)

    No Wisconsin U.S. Senate race in 2026 (Baldwin Class I → 2030; Johnson Class III → 2028).

Guide How this works
  • Independent races — unlike March Madness, winners don’t advance into each other. You pick each race’s winner.
  • Heat seed (#) ranks how much graded coverage Clad has on that race — popularity of the story, not a poll. Board order is fixed (hottest + soonest first).
  • Filter (Senate / Governors / Marquee) narrows the list; the pick counter shows picks for races currently on screen.
  • Your pick requires a free account. Lock freezes only the races in your current filter (e.g. Governors) — other groups stay open.
  • Locked picks join the anonymous community tally and appear on your share link. Reset draft clears unlocked picks in the current filter only.
  • Coverage lead (signed-in) is editorial context about airtime quality — separate from your ballot.
  • Candidate map verified as of 2026-08-29 (live auditor overlay).

Community tallies: community votes. Map: election map. Civics: first-time voter guide.